The United States enter their 2026 World Cup Round of 16 matchup against Belgium with their top scorer back in the lineup. Folarin Balogun will be eligible to play after having his red card suspension lifted, giving the American squad a significant boost heading into the knockout stage. The winner advances to face Spain in the quarterfinals on Friday.
Kickoff for USA vs. Belgium is 8 p.m. ET from Seattle. According to CBS Sports, FanDuel Sportsbook lists the United States at +150 on the 90-minute money line, with Belgium at +180 and a draw at +240. The over/under for total goals is set at 2.5. The USA are listed as -122 favorites to advance, with Belgium at +100.
Balogun carries the lowest odds of any player on the board to score at any point in the match, listed at +165 for an anytime goal. His return is seen as one of the more significant factors shaping how analysts and bettors view the matchup.
Belgium enters the round of 16 after a difficult win over Senegal. The Belgians trailed by two goals at the 80-minute mark before rallying to win 3-2 in overtime. That kind of defensive shakiness has drawn attention from those studying the matchup closely.
Soccer betting analyst Jon Eimer, who covers the match for SportsLine and carries a 25-16-2 record on World Cup picks, has been examining the game from multiple angles. He is leaning toward the under 2.5 total goals at +124. Eimer also noted that the United States will have the home crowd advantage in Seattle working in their favor. "Belgium can't play against USA like they did against Senegal or they're in for a bad time," Eimer said.
Eimer has posted a 31-13-2 record on Champions League picks in 2026, returning over $1,200 in profit on those selections alone.
The USA and Belgium kick off Monday night with a quarterfinal berth against Spain on the line.
